Each day Malcolm Boyle, the author of 'How To Win at the Tote Placepot' and a former odds compiler, will give his unique analysis of the feature meeting from a Placepot perspective.
His general preview for the following day's racing will appear at around 5pm the day before with the actual selections available around two hours before the first race on the day of racing so factors such as non-runners and going conditions can properly be taken into account.
BRIGHTON – SEPTEMBER 3RD
Average toteplacepot dividend at Brighton in 2006: £704.37 (19 meetings)—in 2007: £445.28 (18 meetings)--in 2008: £1,031.02 (21 meetings)--in 2009: £247.28 (20 meetings)
2.30 This is a new meeting whereby no favourite and draw information is available. A poor day of racing for a Friday which heralds the arrival of autumn according to the gospel of yours truly. Punters won’t mind a couple of non runners rearing their respective heads overnight which would create a ’dead eight’ event but failing that, I can only offer the tentative and speculative trio of STANDOUT, DEW REWARD and DAZZLING VALENTINE against the other seven contenders.
3.00 I tend to side with three-year-olds in these mixed vintage events, especially when there are no trends with which to work. SWIFT RETURN, LOUISIANA GIFT and FARMERS DREAM look as good as any of the other runners in the line up and it’s worth noting that SWIFT RETURN sports a first time visor after being touched off by Mrs Mogg on Wednesday.
3.30 Another mixed vintage event and the pick of the four junior raiders might prove to be SATIN PRINCESS on this occasion, even though Frankie McDonald’s mount has yet to finish ‘in the three’ via ten attempts to date. You should determine the moderate nature of this event via that opening sentence, whereby even (respectfully) such ordinary horses as HELLBENDER and course and distance winner ORANGELEG can by given realistic chances of securing the modest prize.
4.00 Drying conditions might have gone against THE HUMAN LEAGUE as Mick Channon’s raider was winning only his second race (thirteen starts both victories achieved under soft conditions) last week at Goodwood. That said, Mick Channon has saddled twelve winners during the last fortnight at the time of writing whereby any horse that Mick saddles just now is worth a second glance. More logical winners under half decent conditions appear to include Mick’s other declaration UNIVERSAL CIRCUS alongside TIMETEAM.
4.30 John Dunlop is enduring an awful season by his high standards as horse after horse appears to running okay until hitting a brick all when the tap is turned on. John had saddled an average of forty nine winners in the previous four years but has not mustered even half that number this season. LATHAAT would have been an automatic selection for this event (especially sporting blinds for the first time) but I have to give the nod to the likes of HULCOTE ROSE and PROGRESS in the circumstances.
5.00 Two of the trio of four-year-olds in the line (the junior runners in the absence of any three-year-olds) are showing consistent toteplacepot form, namely BERMONDSEY BOB and COMMANDING PRESENCE, whilst the other is a course and distance winner here at Brighton which is always worth a length of three at the switchback venue. MANDHOOMA is the identity of the third four-year-old and this trio will do for me against the field in the toteplacepot finale.
LINGFIELD:
Average toteplacepot dividend at Lingfield (flat) in 2006: £296.53 (91 meetings)—in 2007: £1,116.95 (98 meetings)--in 2008: £153.68 (90 meetings in total NH & flat)--in 2009: £224.87 (69 A/W meetings)
MUSSELBURGH:
Average toteplacepot dividend at Musselburgh (flat) in 2006: £196.89 (18 meetings)—in 2007: £329.90 (19 meetings)--in 2008: £287.60 (25 meetings in total NH & flat)--in 2009: £276.86 (17 flat meetings)
KEMPTON :
Average toteplacepot dividend at Kempton (flat) in 2006: £770.29 (54 meetings)—in 2007: £481.99 (62 meetings)--in 2008: £296.68 (96 meetings in total NH & flat)--in 2009: £474.14 (85 A/W meetings)
2010 average toteplacepot dividends—A-Z racecourse guide (up to and including Wednesday 1st September
A/W venues:
Kempton (£337.97--48 meetings)
Lingfield (£267.02--40 meetings)
Southwell (£195.11--40 meetings)
Wolverhampton (£254.19--53 meetings)
Flat (turf) venues:
Ascot (£787.23--13 meetings)
Ayr (£239.69--10 meetings)
Bath (£363.91--17 meetings)
Beverley (£314.84--18 meetings)
Brighton (£90.67--18 meetings)
Carlisle (£420.67--10 meetings)
Catterick (£221.25--13 meetings)
Chepstow (£5,669.40--10 meetings)
Chester (£230.90--10 meetings)
Doncaster (£1,207.87--17 meetings)
Epsom (£1,085.39--11 meetings)
Ffos Las (£181.71--8 meetings)
Folkestone (£181.91--12 meetings)
Goodwood (£211.55--16 meetings)
Hamilton (£227.01--16 meetings)
Haydock (£182.32--16 meetings)
Leicester (£594.58--16 meetings)
Lingfield (£69.70--2 meetings)
Musselburgh (£172.95--14 meetings)
Newbury (£326.23--13 meetings)
Newcastle (£3,552.84--14 meetings)
Newmarket (July) (£439.27--19 meetings)
Newmarket (RM) (£1,076.17--10 meetings)
Nottingham (£345.80--13 meetings)
Pontefract (£304.48--12 meetings)
Redcar (£702.92--14 meetings)
Ripon (£430.40--15 meetings)
Salisbury (£129.11--12 meetings)
Sandown (£2,060.22--14 meetings)
Thirsk (£1,148.25--13 meetings)
Warwick (£138.02--9 meetings)
Windsor (£182.84--23 meetings)
Yarmouth (£163.46--18 meetings)
York (£366.70--13 meetings)
N/H venues:
Aintree (£469.74—5 meetings)
Ascot (£318.00—3 meetings)
Ayr (£377.82—6 meetings)
Bangor (£162.26—13 meetings)
Carlisle (£145.58—4 meetings)
Cartmel (£129.20—7 meetings)
Catterick (£236.44—5 meetings)
Cheltenham (£4,954.48—10 meetings)
Chepstow (£907.90—7 meetings)
Doncaster (£37178—5 meetings)
Exeter (£79.05—6 meetings)
Fakenham (£43.30—6 meetings)
Ffos Las (£2,101.97—10 meetings)
Folkestone (£154.60—3 meetings)
Fontwell (£310.23—12 meetings)
Haydock (£360.22—4 meetings)
Hereford (£375.30—8 meetings)
Hexham (£193.04—9 meetings)
Huntingdon (£697.68—11 meetings)
Kelso (£585.10—7 meetings)
Leicester (£237.85—4 meetings)
Lingfield (£384.70—2 meetings)
Ludlow (£129.36—8 meetings)
Kempton (£356.87—6 meetings)
Market Rasen (£202.99—13 meetings)
Musselburgh (£337.93—3 meetings)
Newbury (£168.78—6 meetings)
Newcastle (£139.84—5 meetings)
Newton Abbot (£166.84—16 meetings)
Perth (£117.55—12 meetings)
Plumpton (£143.80—11 meetings)
Sandown (£44.35—4 meetings)
Sedgefield (£141.49—11 meetings)
Southwell (£242.52—10 meetings)
Stratford (£502.57—14 meetings)
Taunton (£178.40—6 meetings)
Towcester (£927.02—11 meetings)
Uttoxeter (£250.74—16 meetings)
Warwick (£503.22—5 meetings)
Wetherby (£118.71—7 meetings)
Wincanton (£294.62—8 meetings)
Worcester (£714.02—12 meetings)
Mixed flat & NH meetings:
Haydock (£76.30—1 meeting)
Sandown (£590.40—1 meeting)
Southwell (£123.50—1 meeting)
Mixed flat (turf and all weather):
Lingfield (£112.26—18 meetings)
The average toteplacepot dividend this year up until the end of racing on Wednesday 1st September stood at £569.74 (985 meetings)