Adam Scott - heads our selections this week.
SCOTT TO END ON A HIGH
By David Tindall
Betting Box Tipping Guide
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BETTING BOX
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FIXED ODDS
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2pts e.w. Adam Scott at 14/1 (General ¼ 1,2,3,4). |
Some excellent results in recent weeks and needs win to qualify for Mercedes. |
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1pt e.w. Arron Oberholser at 40/1 (General ¼ 1,2,3,4). |
Strong iron player and very consistent this season. Capable of big challenge here. |
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1pt win Brett Wetterich at 50/1, 1pt place at 10/1 (expekt.com). |
Won Byron Nelson on par 70 with bentgrass greens and bang in form again. |
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1.5pts e.w. Trevor Immelman at 20/1 (General ¼ 1,2,3,4). |
Another with impressive G.I.R stats. Seventh on Money List and a real improver.
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The top 30 on the US Money List head to Atlanta this week to contest the season-ending Tour Championship.
Well that's what's supposed to happen.
Phil Mickelson withdrew from the tournament months ago while, on Friday, Tiger Woods dropped a bombshell by revealing on his website that he wouldn't be turning up either.
With Stephen Ames out injured, it means we're down to 27.
With Woods having won his last six strokeplay events, at least it gives the others a much better shot at landing the $1.17 million first prize cheque.
In fact, Tiger had only won one Tour Championship in 10 attempts so, on that basis, would have been worth taking on. However, having finished runner-up at East Lake (the host course in 2005, 2004, 2002, 2000 and 1998) three times in five attempts it would have been a brave decision to lay him on Betfair.
Jim Furyk, second on the Money List, is now the favourite to end his already stellar season on a serious high. He was third at East Lake in 1998 but hasn't made the top 10 in his two previous outings there.
Ernie Els hasn't really excelled at East Lake either although having qualified by the skin of his teeth he may well be right to say that he'll be "the happiest guy there".
Relief doesn't equate into guaranteed good performance though and Els' mixed final round performance in Tampa doesn't fill me with confidence here.
Vijay Singh will certainly be feeling good about himself having been inducted into the World Golf Hall of Fame on Monday night.
He's also got some superb course form, with a first, a second, a third and a fourth to his name.
The 10/1 is sure to attract some but even though his recent form has shown signs of encouragement I'm still not compelled to back him in a field of this quality at that sort of price. The last two winners at East Lake topped the G.I.R stats for the week and solid iron play is a must at the Georgia venue.
That means my first pick is Australian Adam Scott.
It's been a wonderful year for the Aussies in America but, despite having pocketed $3,808,858 to sit sixth on the US Money List, Scott hasn't managed to post a victory.
He's had numerous high finishes and at least reminded himself of the winning feeling when capturing the Singapore Open last month.
He followed that up with a second place to Tiger Woods in the Amex Championship at The Grove and, despite missing the cut on his return to US soil last week, clearly his game in is good shape.
Scott started slowly here last year with a 73, but rounds of 69, 65 and 67 propelled him up the leaderboard to a final seventh place finish.
As well as his impressive iron play, he's also putted well in recent events so the signs are definitely there that Scott can bag his first win of the season and qualify for the Mercedes Championship at the start of January.
He's 14/1 to do so and is our first play.
Scott is 12th in G.I.R for the season and our next pick is one place above him.
Arron Oberholser is playing in his first Tour Championship but this is a player to watch in the next few years.
He's had 11 top 16 finishes in 2006, including a win at Pebble Beach, and it could have been more but for having a month off after cutting his finger.
Those top 16s include the Masters and the US Open while, more recently, he was 10th and 12th at the two WGC events - the Bridgestone in late August and the Amex at the start of October.
He's 11th in scoring average for the year and has posted some good numbers on past trips to Georgia. As well as his 14th at Augusta he was also sixth in the 2005 BellSouth Classic.
With doubts over plenty of the market leaders, Oberholser, at 40/1, is an attractive alternative to the obvious names this week.
Brett Wetterich was a 125/1 winner for us earlier this season and, despite being part of the US Ryder Cup hammering, he's bounced back impressively.
Since the K Club debacle, Wetterich has finished sixth at The Grove and second in last week's Chrysler Championship.
As well as providing happy memories, the 125/1 win at the Byron Nelson Championship is significant in another way.
That was played on a shortish par 70 with bentgrass greens - the same test that's being put in front of him this week.
His fourth place in Driving Distance is a stat that doesn't surprise us as he's well known for launching it off the tee. But I doubt it's common knowledge that he's fourth in the All-Around Ranking.
In other words, Wetterich has 'a lot of game' and given his recent form he could be a live threat this week.
Snap up the 50/1 win only at expekt.com and also take their 10/1 in the place market.
Retief Goosen comes close to selection given his record here of ninth, first and fourth and, like Els, he hasn't qualified for next year's Mercedes.
The massively in-form Joe Durant is another possible although I feel the switch from bermuda to bentgrass is a negative and he looks incredibly short at 25s.
Davis Love has impressive credentials having made the top five in five of his last eight Tour Championships while his current form reads 4-1-5.
But, on the flipside, 14/1 is very short for a player who has won just once since 2003.
So I'll end with a small punt at 20s on one of the huge improvers in 2006 - Trevor Immelman.
The South African is seventh on the US Money List this season, is an excellent iron player and was second to Wetterich at the Byron Nelson so has done well on bentgrass-greened par 70s.
Fifth at the 2005 US Masters at nearby Augusta, Immelman is just starting to get into his flow again after taking time out following the birth of his first child.
Since young Jacob arrived, he's had a fifth, a ninth and two other top 15s in six starts and, having competed for the last two weeks, Immelman could really have some rhythm when he tees it up in Atlanta.
He closed with a 68 at the Chrysler Championship and, despite his lack of course experience, he has the talent to win this at the first opportunity.
Preview posted at 1030GMT on 31/10/2006.
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